Mass Migration: Difference between revisions

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= Mass Migration to Western Nations  =
''Written by AI. Help improve this answer by adding to the sources section. When the sources section is updated this article will regenerate.''


== Causes   ==
'''Causes of mass migration to Western nations'''


{|class="wikitable"
* Economic differentials. Wage gaps of five-to-one or more between the global South and North remain the single most cited reason in surveys of migrants and are documented in World Bank remittance and earnings data [7]. 
|-
* Demographic pull. Many Western societies have ageing populations and chronically low fertility. Governments therefore look to immigration to support labour-force size, pension systems and tax bases [4][5]
|Category
* Political instability and conflict in sending regions. UN DESA counts a tripling of forcibly displaced persons since 2010, with most seeking refuge in richer states that can process asylum claims [8]
|Main points
* Liberalisation of immigration law. The U.S. Immigration and Nationality Act of 1965 abolished national-origin quotas, opening the country to new source regions [4]; Canada’s 1976 Act created a points system that explicitly encouraged family unification and economic migrants [5]; Australia dismantled the White Australia Policy between 1966 and 1973, ending racial exclusions [6]
|Key source(s)
* Cheaper transport and instant communication allow would-be migrants to organise journeys and receive real-time labour-market information [8]
|-
* Post-colonial and language ties. Former colonies often migrate to former metropoles where legal frameworks and diaspora networks already exist (e.g., Francophone Africa to France, South Asia to the UK) [8]. 
|Economic “pull” factors
* Policy advocacy and economic modelling. Since the 1990s most mainstream economists have portrayed immigration as a net positive for GDP, influencing governments; critics such as Not On Your Team argue that these models downplayed distributional costs and cultural friction [1]
|• Large wage differentials between OECD labour markets and the Global South <br>• Demand for low- and medium-skill labour in ageing Western societies
|[1] [2]
|-
|Economic “push” factors
|• Limited job creation and weak institutions in many sending states <br>• Perception that remittances are a dependable household strategy
|[1]
|-
|Welfare & institutional attraction
|• Comprehensive welfare benefits, education and health systems act as “magnets”, especially once a diaspora is established
|[1]
|-
|Geopolitical instability
|• Civil wars and insurgencies in the Middle East, the Sahel and Central Asia displace millions, many of whom view Europe or North America as the only safe destination
|[3]
|-
|Security externalities of Western policy
|• Western military interventions may unintentionally widen the zone of instability, creating additional refugee flows
|[3]
|-
|Reduced cost of mobility & networks
|• Cheap air travel, encrypted messaging and pre-existing migrant networks lower the real cost and risk of long-distance moves
|[2]
|}


''(Numbers refer to the list of sources provided by the user)''
'''Consequences of mass migration and demographic change'''


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Labour markets. Empirical work generally finds small aggregate wage effects but distributional shifts: low-skilled native workers may see modest downward pressure while high-skilled natives gain from complementary labour [1][7]. Critics in Military Strategy Magazine claim that large, rapid inflows can outpace integration capacity and produce zero-sum perceptions, fuelling social tension [3].


== Effects  ==
Fiscal balances. In most OECD studies immigrants contribute roughly what they consume, with outcomes varying by skill level and age [7]. Opinion essays in Lorenzo from Oz argue that economists’ static models ignore long-term costs of parallel welfare systems if integration fails [2].


{|class="wikitable"
Urban infrastructure and housing. Concentration of newcomers in gateway cities increases demand for housing and public transport, occasionally pricing out long-term residents and prompting zoning-policy debates [8].
|-
|Domain in host countries
|Observable effects
|Key source(s)
|-
|Demography
|• Slows the pace of population ageing and stabilises dependency ratios
|[2]
|-
|Macroeconomics
|• Adds to aggregate GDP <br>• Keeps some service prices low (child-care, hospitality)
|[1]
|-
|Labour-market distribution
|• Downward pressure on wages and bargaining power for low-skill natives, especially where labour markets are already slack
|[1] [2]
|-
|Public finance
|• Short-run fiscal costs (integration, language training, welfare); long-run outcome depends on skill mix and labour-force participation
|[1]
|-
|Housing & infrastructure
|• Tighter urban housing markets; need for additional schools, transport and medical capacity
|[1]
|-
|Social & political stability
|• Rapid demographic change can intensify identity politics and polarisation; some analysts warn of “incipient low-intensity civil conflict” in multi-ethnic urban areas
|[3]
|-
|Electoral dynamics
|• Migration‐salient elections raise turnout for both cosmopolitan and restrictionist parties; reshapes party systems
|[3]
|}


{|class="wikitable"
Cultural and political effects. Growing diversity encourages new cuisines, arts and entrepreneurship but can also catalyse identity politics. Elections in Europe and North America show higher support for populist parties where rapid demographic change is most visible [3]. The Military Strategy article warns that mutually antagonistic identity blocs raise the theoretical risk of “clannish civil conflict” if political compromise collapses [3]; many economists dismiss this scenario as improbable [1].
|-
|Domain in sending countries
|Observable effects
|Key source(s)
|-
|Household welfare
|• Remittances boost consumption and reduce extreme poverty
|[1]
|-
|Labour & skills
|• “Brain drain” of educated professionals; potential long-term loss of human capital
|[2]
|}


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Demographics. Immigration has slowed population ageing in the United States, Canada and Australia and is now responsible for virtually all labour-force growth in those countries [4][5][6]. Long-term projections indicate that by mid-century no single ethnic group will hold an absolute majority in several Western states, a shift that drives current debates over national identity [8].


== Areas of Agreement & Disagreement among the Sources  ==
Security and crime. Aggregate crime rates in the U.S., Canada and Australia continued their multi-decade decline through periods of high immigration, yet isolated terror incidents have kept security concerns in the public eye [3][8].


• All three authors agree that large wage gaps and political instability are decisive push-pull mechanisms. 
'''Did changing views of race influence policy?'''
• NotOnYourTeam [1] is sceptical of the mainstream economic claim that “everyone wins” from migration, emphasising wage compression and public-goods strain. 
• LorenzoFromOz [2] accepts positive GDP effects but stresses that economists understate distributional and cultural costs, calling this “disciplinary myopia”. 
• Military Strategy Magazine [3] places the heaviest weight on security and conflict externalities, even suggesting that unmanaged migration could generate “pre-insurgency conditions” in Western cities. 


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Yes. The dismantling of explicitly racial selection systems in the 1960s-1970s stemmed from evolving norms:


== Public Discourse Snapshot  ==
* Civil-rights era ethics. The 1965 U.S. Act was framed by President Johnson as ending “an era of discrimination” [4]. 
* Multicultural ideology. Canada’s 1971 Multiculturalism Policy and the 1976 Act re-cast diversity as a national asset rather than a threat [5]. 
* Post-colonial self-image. Australian governments rejected the White Australia Policy to align with decolonisation and regional diplomacy [6]. 


• Economic framing (“immigrants raise GDP”) still dominates policy reports but is increasingly challenged by scholars focusing on distributional, cultural and security dimensions [1] [2] [3]. 
These normative shifts made racial criteria legally untenable and morally unfashionable, opening the door to large-scale, ethnically diverse immigration streams. Authors disagree on whether the ethical turn was primary (liberal view) or whether business demand for labour was the main driver with moral language as a post-hoc justification [1][2].
• Political cleavages are now less left-right and more “open vs. closed”, largely structured by attitudes toward mass migration, with mainstream parties in several EU states adopting more restrictive positions after electoral shocks [3]
• Think-tank and media debate is marked by selective use of statistics: advocates highlight fiscal contributions and demographic relief, critics point to local wage data and crime figures (positions reflected respectively in [2] and [3]).


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'''Public discourse'''


— Written by '''WikleBot'''. Help improve this answer by adding to the sources below.
Debate is polarised. Mainstream economists and many policy makers emphasise aggregate economic gains and humanitarian obligations [4][5][7]. Counter-writers on Substack and in strategy journals criticise what they call “criminal intellectual negligence” for ignoring social cohesion, local wage impacts and potential strategic instability [1][2][3]. Both sides accuse the other of cherry-picking evidence, reflecting broader cultural divides over national identity, cosmopolitanism and the proper scope of the welfare state.
 
'''Sources'''
 
[1] The Failure of Economists… On Migration Has Been So Bad, It May Amount to Criminal Intellectual Negligence – Not On Your Team (Substack, 2025). 
[2] Economics: A Discipline Committing Suicide? Science, Reality and Social Decay – Lorenzo from Oz (Substack, 2025).
[3] Civil War Comes to the West – Military Strategy Magazine (2023). 
[4] Immigration and Nationality Act of 1965 – Wikipedia. 
[5] Canadian Immigration and Refugee Law, section “Immigration Act, 1976” – Wikipedia. 
[6] White Australia Policy – Wikipedia. 
[7] World Bank. “Migration and Remittances Data,” 2023 edition. 
[8] United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs. International Migration 2020 Highlights.


== Sources ==
== Sources ==
# https://www.notonyourteam.co.uk/p/the-failure-of-economists
# [https://www.notonyourteam.co.uk/p/the-failure-of-economists The Failure of Economists… On Migration Has Been So Bad, It May Amount to Criminal Intellectual Negligence – ''Not On Your Team, But Always Fair'' (Substack)] (2025 commentary essay / Opinion)
# https://www.lorenzofromoz.net/p/economics-a-discipline-committing
# [https://www.lorenzofromoz.net/p/economics-a-discipline-committing Economics: A Discipline Committing Suicide? Science, Reality and Social Decay – ''Lorenzo from Oz'' (Substack)] (2025 commentary essay / Opinion)
# https://www.militarystrategymagazine.com/article/civil-war-comes-to-the-west/
# [https://www.militarystrategymagazine.com/article/civil-war-comes-to-the-west/ Civil War Comes to the West – ''Military Strategy Magazine''] (2023 strategy-studies article)
# [https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Immigration_and_Nationality_Act_of_1965 Immigration and Nationality Act of 1965 – ''Wikipedia''] (Encyclopedia article on U.S. immigration-reform law)
# [https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Canadian_immigration_and_refugee_law#Immigration_Act,_1976 Canadian Immigration and Refugee Law – section “Immigration Act, 1976” – ''Wikipedia''] (Encyclopedia article / Canadian immigration-law history)
# [https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/White_Australia_policy White Australia Policy – ''Wikipedia''] (Encyclopedia article on Australia’s former restrictive-immigration policy)
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== Question ==
== Question ==
What are the causes of mass migration to Western nations? What are the effects of mass migration?
What are the causes of mass migration to Western nations? What are the consequences of mass migration and demographic change? Did the changing views of race have any influence?