Mass Migration: Difference between revisions
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== | = Mass Migration to Western Nations = | ||
== Causes == | |||
{|class="wikitable" | |||
|- | |||
|Category | |||
|Main points | |||
|Key source(s) | |||
|- | |||
|Economic “pull” factors | |||
|• Large wage differentials between OECD labour markets and the Global South <br>• Demand for low- and medium-skill labour in ageing Western societies | |||
|[1] [2] | |||
|- | |||
|Economic “push” factors | |||
|• Limited job creation and weak institutions in many sending states <br>• Perception that remittances are a dependable household strategy | |||
|[1] | |||
|- | |||
|Welfare & institutional attraction | |||
|• Comprehensive welfare benefits, education and health systems act as “magnets”, especially once a diaspora is established | |||
|[1] | |||
|- | |||
|Geopolitical instability | |||
|• Civil wars and insurgencies in the Middle East, the Sahel and Central Asia displace millions, many of whom view Europe or North America as the only safe destination | |||
|[3] | |||
|- | |||
|Security externalities of Western policy | |||
|• Western military interventions may unintentionally widen the zone of instability, creating additional refugee flows | |||
|[3] | |||
|- | |||
|Reduced cost of mobility & networks | |||
|• Cheap air travel, encrypted messaging and pre-existing migrant networks lower the real cost and risk of long-distance moves | |||
|[2] | |||
|} | |||
''(Numbers refer to the list of sources provided by the user)'' | |||
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== Effects == | |||
{|class="wikitable" | |||
|- | |||
|Domain in host countries | |||
|Observable effects | |||
|Key source(s) | |||
|- | |||
|Demography | |||
|• Slows the pace of population ageing and stabilises dependency ratios | |||
|[2] | |||
|- | |||
|Macroeconomics | |||
|• Adds to aggregate GDP <br>• Keeps some service prices low (child-care, hospitality) | |||
|[1] | |||
|- | |||
|Labour-market distribution | |||
|• Downward pressure on wages and bargaining power for low-skill natives, especially where labour markets are already slack | |||
|[1] [2] | |||
|- | |||
|Public finance | |||
|• Short-run fiscal costs (integration, language training, welfare); long-run outcome depends on skill mix and labour-force participation | |||
|[1] | |||
|- | |||
|Housing & infrastructure | |||
|• Tighter urban housing markets; need for additional schools, transport and medical capacity | |||
|[1] | |||
|- | |||
|Social & political stability | |||
|• Rapid demographic change can intensify identity politics and polarisation; some analysts warn of “incipient low-intensity civil conflict” in multi-ethnic urban areas | |||
|[3] | |||
|- | |||
|Electoral dynamics | |||
|• Migration‐salient elections raise turnout for both cosmopolitan and restrictionist parties; reshapes party systems | |||
|[3] | |||
|} | |||
{|class="wikitable" | |||
|- | |||
|Domain in sending countries | |||
|Observable effects | |||
|Key source(s) | |||
|- | |||
|Household welfare | |||
|• Remittances boost consumption and reduce extreme poverty | |||
|[1] | |||
|- | |||
|Labour & skills | |||
|• “Brain drain” of educated professionals; potential long-term loss of human capital | |||
|[2] | |||
|} | |||
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== Areas of Agreement & Disagreement among the Sources == | |||
• All three authors agree that large wage gaps and political instability are decisive push-pull mechanisms. | |||
• NotOnYourTeam [1] is sceptical of the mainstream economic claim that “everyone wins” from migration, emphasising wage compression and public-goods strain. | |||
• LorenzoFromOz [2] accepts positive GDP effects but stresses that economists understate distributional and cultural costs, calling this “disciplinary myopia”. | |||
• Military Strategy Magazine [3] places the heaviest weight on security and conflict externalities, even suggesting that unmanaged migration could generate “pre-insurgency conditions” in Western cities. | |||
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== Public Discourse Snapshot == | |||
• Economic framing (“immigrants raise GDP”) still dominates policy reports but is increasingly challenged by scholars focusing on distributional, cultural and security dimensions [1] [2] [3]. | |||
• Political cleavages are now less left-right and more “open vs. closed”, largely structured by attitudes toward mass migration, with mainstream parties in several EU states adopting more restrictive positions after electoral shocks [3]. | |||
• Think-tank and media debate is marked by selective use of statistics: advocates highlight fiscal contributions and demographic relief, critics point to local wage data and crime figures (positions reflected respectively in [2] and [3]). | |||
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— Written by '''WikleBot'''. Help improve this answer by adding to the sources below. | |||
==Sources== | == Sources == | ||
# https://www.notonyourteam.co.uk/p/the-failure-of-economists | # https://www.notonyourteam.co.uk/p/the-failure-of-economists | ||
# https://www.lorenzofromoz.net/p/economics-a-discipline-committing | # https://www.lorenzofromoz.net/p/economics-a-discipline-committing | ||
# https://www.militarystrategymagazine.com/article/civil-war-comes-to-the-west/ | # https://www.militarystrategymagazine.com/article/civil-war-comes-to-the-west/ | ||
== Question == | |||
What are the causes of mass migration to Western nations? What are the effects of mass migration? |